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Folks, they're called bold for a reason. Last week, following a week where were on a high from nailing 8 of our 16 calls, inevitably we came crashing down to earth faster than Matt Cassel's professional career. To be fair, though, last week's predictions were close. Although we only hit 3 of our 16 last week, we were a Jermaine Gresham fumble and 1-2 more points from Brandon Marshall, Dallas Clark, CJ Spiller, and Aaron Hernandez from putting up respectable numbers.
So, in and of itself we're calling last week a success because we need something to hang our hats on.
Okay, so it's fantasy playoff time! Hopefully, if you played your cards right and got a little lucky, you're playing with an opportunity to show your friends how much better you are than they are. After all, fantasy football is all about outsmarting your friends, yes? Well, we're here to help you do that.
Here's some probably SORT of correct bold predictions for each game in Week 14. Remember, it's not an exact science. It's not about exact numbers. We're like sports weathermen - as long as we don't have a tornado when we called for sunshine, we feel pretty good about keeping our jobs the next day.
Broncos at Raiders - Expect another double-digit game for Brandon Myers here, who had just a stupid game last week against Cleveland. Since Week 8, only one tight end (Jason Witten) has more catches than Brandon Myers. That's right, not even Graham or Gonzalez. He's about the only consistent weapon that Carson Palmer has to work with, and he's a safe bet to at least get 50 yards.
Rams at Bills - There will be less than 65 people in the stadium. Just kidding...but that's not too far-fetched. Fred Jackson will finish with more fantasy points than CJ Spiller. Both guys are must-starts here, but it's reasonable to expect Spiller to get 15 touches and 95 yards or so, while Fred Jackson will get less work, but is more likely to score. Both have value as an RB2, however
Cowboys at Bengals - Miles Austin will be a top 15 WR this week. We talk about Romo's apparent re-emregence on the podcast, and obvious Dez Bryant has been a big part of that. Better than average chance that Leon Hall, who is an above average cover corner, will be on Bryant, and with Dre Kirkpatrick likely not to play with a concussion, it should leave plenty of opportunities for Austin to do some damage.
Chiefs at Browns - Both Dwayne Bowe and Josh Gordon score 10+ points. Neither is an outstanding play this week, although we'd give an edge to Gordon. Gordon doesn't need a high volume to produce numbers, and we believe there's a chance for him to break a big one here. Bowe just hasn't been very good this year, but he's really all the Chiefs have in their passing game. Not a lot of yards here, especially against Joe Haden, but 50 yards and a score is certainly reasonable.
Titans at Colts - Vick Ballard goes over 80 yards and scores. Ballard is a mediocre NFL running back, but it's his job this week. Donald Brown, who's been a bit of a bug a boo for fantasy this year, is out in this one. Ballard had limited work last week but ended up with 41 yards and a score. He gets goal line work (although Andrew Luck has more rushing TDs). In a game that Indy will likely be up early at home, I like Ballard to churn out some garbage time points.
Bears at Vikings - Matt Forte will go over 18 fantasy points. He didn't look great last week, but got a cheap receiving TD to salvage his fantasy day. We like him this week against a Vikings D that's allowed over 100 rushing yards in 5 of the last 6.
Eagles at Bucs - Vincent Jackson will score at least 16 fantasy points. Boy, how bad of a season has it been for the Eagles D? Even after firing Juan Castillo, they got even worse. And to make matters worse, Michael Vick has now been benched for the season, and LeSean McCoy's status isn't looking promising either. The Bucs have been hot lately, and Vincent Jackson is due for a huge day after being bottled up by Champ Bailey last week in Denver.
Ravens at Redskins - Anquan Boldin will be a Top 28 receiver. I know, arbitrary number. The bottom line is this: Boldin has at least 5 catches and at least 50 yards in 3 of the last 5. He's not a sexy play, and we certainly don't feel good about him as a WR2, but if you're in a league that starts 3 wideouts and a flex, we think he should be in consideration against the Redskins' paltry secondary
Falcons at Panthers - The Falcons win big and shut up Greg Hardy and his dumb comments about the Panthers being a better team. And to get them there, Matt Ryan returns to form and is a Top 8 fantasy QB this week. It's not an awesome matchup (Carolina is actually a Top 10 passing D), but Ryan is due for a breakout.
Jets at Jaguars - No one will watch this. It's going to be an aboslutely terrible real-life football game. But if you have to make a fantasy prediction, how about Shonn Greene will rush for over 100 yards for the second game in a row...for the first time this season. Greene looked good last week (called it!). He's still not a good runningback, but the Jets have nothing else to lean on and the Jaguars are a terrible run D.
Chargers at Steelers - Phillip Riveres finishes with less than 12 fantasy points. Terrible matchup, Rivers trying to do too much, no running game to speak of, it's just an avoidable situation.
Dolphins at 49ers - Frank Gore will have his highest fantasy game of the season. This one is just a gut call. Nothing more. Sorry for not having any deep analysis here.
Cardinals at Seahawks - Sidney Rice finishes OUTSIDE the top 25 in fantasy wide receivers this week. This comes down to two parts...one is that I think Marshawn Lynch has a monster game here. One is that Patrick Peterson is a really good cover corner, and I don't think Rice will have much room to work...plus he's not fully healthy.
Saints at Giants - Ahmad Bradshaw goes over 100 yards and scores. Look, he's the guy. The Giants don't trust David Wilson at all. Bradshaw's nagging foot injury appears to be behind him, and the Saints are a terrible defense. This is our lock of the week.
Lions at Packers - James Jones finishes with more fantasy points than Sidney Rice. Remember that Rice prediction? Well, Jones is the opposite. Jordy Nelson may not play...and do you know who leads the Packers in redzone targets? Yeah, it's Jones with 15. And it's not close. Nelson is second with 10, and no one else has more than 6. Part of that is a stat of attrition with injuries to Nelson and Jennings throughout the year, but he's a legit end zone threat. I like him to score and be a decent flex play here.
Texans at Patriots - This game is fantasy gold. 4 players will score 15 or more fantasy points in this game. If we were betting men, it'd be Andre Johnson, Stevan Ridley, and Wes Welker. Aaron Hernandez and Owen Daniels could sniff it too.
Happy Week 14 - tweet us all week! @FLFantasyShow





